A plain Discord poll counts votes and forgets them. A prediction contest remembers who was right, rewards them, and turns “who do you think wins?” into a recurring reason to come back.
Run it whenever your community cares about an outcome nobody knows yet: a Grand Finals, a title fight, a transfer window, an awards show, a season MVP race, or an in-game event like “which faction takes the castle this weekend?” Members predict before it happens, then you come back after and mark what actually occurred. Subo grades every prediction, tallies a score, and lets you reward the winners in one click.
Bolder calls, bigger rewards
Give each option a weight equal to its payout multiplier, and a correct underdog call is worth far more XP than a safe favorite. Because it’s a game, the numbers can come straight from a real prediction market when one exists, or be equal (or completely made up) when it doesn’t.
For example, in a Mexico vs Ecuador match you might price Mexico as the 63% favorite (a 1.5× payout) and Ecuador the underdog at 37% (a 2.6× payout). With a standard 10 XP base, a correct Mexico pick pays 15 XP and a correct Ecuador call pays 26 XP. Whoever’s right gets that as XP, and wrong picks get nothing.
Variants
- Single-match poll: one “who wins?” question with two or three options including Draw. Perfect for a quick one-off prediction.
- Awards or ceremony survey: one question per category with the nominees as options, all scored and resolved at once.
- Non-gaming events: sports fixtures, esports brackets, transfer windows, election calls, or a product team’s “which feature ships first?” launch bet.